Areas of Expertise
Drop Rate Analysis
Statistical modeling of loot systems, binomial probability distributions, and expected value calculations across 15+ MMOs and looter games.
Economy Optimization
Gold per hour (GPH) efficiency analysis, market price modeling, and time-cost trade-off optimization for endgame farming strategies.
Game Mechanics Research
Reverse-engineering loot algorithms, pity systems (soft/hard pity), bad luck protection mechanics, and artisan energy models from community data and official sources.
Data Validation & Testing
Cross-referencing official patch notes, community research (wikis, Reddit, Discord), and in-game testing to ensure calculator accuracy within ±2% margin.
Games & Systems Covered
Our team has conducted deep-dive analysis on loot systems across multiple game genres:
MMORPGs
- • Old School RuneScape (Barrows, Raids)
- • World of Warcraft (Delves, Vault)
- • Lost Ark (Honing, Artisan Energy)
ARPGs & Looters
- • Diablo IV (Helltide, Ancestral)
- • Path of Exile (Currency, Maps)
- • Borderlands 3 (Legendaries)
Gacha & F2P
- • Genshin Impact (Wish Pity)
- • Warframe (Relics, Prime Parts)
- • Destiny 2 (Raid Exotics)
→ Special Focus Areas
Pity Systems & Bad Luck Protection
Expert analysis of soft pity (Genshin 75 wishes), hard pity (90 wishes), and progressive drop rate increases (Lost Ark Artisan Energy, Destiny 2 raid exotics).
Time-Efficiency Optimization
Balancing expected value (EV) against gold per hour (GPH), route density analysis, and break-even calculations for travel time vs. loot quality trade-offs.
Market Price Volatility
Modeling Grand Exchange (OSRS), Auction House (WoW), and Trade Market (PoE) price fluctuations to provide dynamic profit forecasts and arbitrage opportunities.
Our Methodology & Standards
Every article, guide, and calculator reviewed by our team follows rigorous validation processes:
Data Source Verification
- ✓ Official patch notes and API data
- ✓ Community-validated wikis (OSRS Wiki, Wowhead)
- ✓ Player log aggregation (1,000+ sample runs)
- ✓ Cross-platform testing (PC, console)
Mathematical Rigor
- ✓ Binomial confidence intervals (95% CI)
- ✓ Monte Carlo simulation validation (10k+ runs)
- ✓ Pseudocode reproducibility
- ✓ Edge case testing & error bounds
→ Review & Update Cadence
- •Patch Day Reviews: All calculators updated within 72 hours of major game patches affecting loot systems
- •Quarterly Audits: Full validation of all formulas, drop rates, and market prices every 3 months
- •Community Feedback: User-reported discrepancies investigated within 48 hours with changelog updates
Content Reviewed by This Team
Articles and guides that have undergone peer review by our probability experts:
Lost Ark Artisan Energy: Pity System Explained
Deep dive into geometric distributions and expected honing attempts
Destiny 2 Raid Exotic Drop Rates & Bad Luck Protection
Analysis of progressive drop rate increases and 3-character farming strategies
Solar Blessing vs Solar Protection: ROI Analysis (Lost Ark)
Expected value calculations and break-even points for enhancement materials
See all articles reviewed by probability experts in our blog archive.
Collaborate With Us
We welcome contributions from the gaming community:
- 📊
Submit Loot Log Data
Help improve calculator accuracy by sharing anonymized loot logs from your farming sessions
- 🔬
Report Discrepancies
Notice a calculator that doesn't match your in-game results? We investigate all reports within 48 hours
- 🎮
Request New Calculators
Suggest games or loot systems you'd like to see analyzed by our team
Last updated: 2025-11-09